Radical Independence Campaign organiser. Member of the Scottish Left Project
Craig Paterson: How it really could have been President Sanders
Political campaigner Craig Paterson takes a look at the numbers and questions whether Bernie Sanders could have given the Democrats the path to the White House
OH what could have been.
There will be ample time for theoretical analysis and soul searching over what has happened in the US but I wanted to look and see if Democrat Bernie Sanders could have beaten Republican Donald Trump.
Thankfully, there is lots of money in American politics that allows for lots of data collection and exit polling.
Craig Paterson poll analysis: The swings that will define the SNP's election
CommonSpace poll analyst Craig Paterson takes a final look at the latest poll data
POLLS are open across the country and people are voting in what has been described as one of the most unpredictable elections ever.
The swing to the SNP will define how many of the 59 seats it actually takes. In this article I will give a breakdown of what swings are needed to take which seats.
Yesterday, we had the traditional eve of elections polls. Seven UK-wide ones, three for Scotland and one each for Wales and London.
Craig Paterson poll analysis: Five predictions for the unpredictable #GE2015
CommonSpace poll analyst Craig Paterson takes a look at the latest data with just a day to go until the General Election
OVER the last 24 hours I have seen my fair share of people predicting the outcome of this election, whether it's on a UK-wide level, a Scotland-wide level or even on a seat-by-seat basis.
Well I'm not going to predict a seat-by-seat outcome for Scotland because regardless of what the polls say, it is still just too unpredictable.
I will, however, stick my neck out and make some predications that may not go down too well.
Craig Paterson poll analysis: Five things that could determine the outcome of #GE2015
With only a week to go until the General Election and polls coming thick and fast, Craig Paterson identifies the key factors likely to sway voters
AS we move into the final week of the campaign we're still no closer to a clear winner. Over the course of the election, pollsters have polled not just on voting intention but on key questions as well. In this article I will look at some of the key issues that could determine the outcome.
Before we delve into that, a quick update on where we stand with our own poll of polls.
Craig Paterson poll analysis: Could the undecided and tactical voters really tip the balance?
CommonSpace poll analyst Craig Paterson explores how important the undecided and tactical voters will be in the #GE2015 outcome
THERE has been a lot of talk recently about the 'tactical vote' up here in Scotland. Indeed, some have even called this the tactical election. We Scots are used to voting tactically so it's not really anything new, but it's the potential sheer scale of tactical voting in this election that makes things so interesting.
Craig Paterson poll analysis: Drilling down on the raw numbers shows that the SNP shouldn't get too comfortable
CommonSpace poll analyst Craig Paterson takes a look at the latest General Election polls and what they mean
JUST over a week ago the Tories seemed to be cementing a small lead (in England) and up here in Scotland the Labour machine seemed finally to be creaking into action.
They say a week is a long time in politics and it was some week. To borrow a phrase from former Scottish Labour Leader Johann Lamont: "I'm astonished."
Craig Paterson poll analysis: Cameron vs Miliband, who won?
CommonSpace poll analyst Craig Paterson takes a look at how the General Election is shaping up according to this week's polls, and gathers some interesting data collected after the first leaders debate event on Thursday night
SO THAT'S IT, this coalition government that everyone said would never last (myself included) has ended its five-year term. Six hundred and fifty MPs are heading back to their constituencies to try and convince the electorate to vote for them again. Well, almost all of them.
Craig Paterson poll analysis: Scottish Labour on the rocks in new ICM poll
CommonSpace poll analyst Craig Paterson takes a look at what the latest figures indicate
I WAS going to do a rundown of the weekend polls today - but instead let's focus in on a Scotland-wide poll conducted by ICM for the Guardian newspaper released on Monday 23rd at 9am.
Another poll, another huge majority for the SNP. The poll of 1,002 Scottish adults shows the SNP set to take 43 seats, with Labour reduced to just 12, the Lib-Dems reduced to three and the Conservatives holding the one current seat they have.
Craig Paterson poll analysis: The Tories are enjoying a post-budget bounce - but can they hold on?
Radical Independence Campaign organiser and Scottish Left Project member Craig Paterson kicks off a new poll analysis column with CommonSpace, this week looking at whether Chancellor George Osborne's budget may help put the Tories back in power at the General Election
OVER the last two years, the people of Scotland have been bombarded with polls, but what do they mean?
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